TVL anomaly — % drop in <1h

Evidence summary #

TVL $14.06B as of April 27 (+2.42% 1d; -39.83% 30d). The drain event occurred April 18-20; signal would have fired during that window (~$6.4B drain in 24h). At April 27 (9 days post-event), TVL is stabilizing — the rolling-window trigger (`TVL_now / TVL_baseline_30d < 0.70` in trailing 60-min) does not fire on current state. Signal has cleared. Yellow (not green) because 30d baseline is depressed from the event; a new shock would fire from a lower baseline, and the prior event's bad debt ($123-230M) remains unresolved.

Sources #

Methodology #

Detect whether TVL drops >X% within 1 hour versus the trailing 30-day baseline (X configurable per protocol TVL tier).

See the full factor methodology and distribution across all protocols →