TVL anomaly — % drop in <1h
Falcon Finance's assessment for RD-F-098 — scored green on the v1.7.0 rubric. The evidence below is the curator's reasoning for this score.
Evidence summary #
TVL anomaly (severe drop) | Applicable: Yes ($1.618B TVL) | 90d CoV = 0.00417 (very stable). 30d change = -0.67%. 1d change = +0.02%. April 2026 drop was gradual over 4+ days, not exploit-class single-hour spike. Well above 30% drop threshold. Signal not firing today.
Detail #
DefiLlama data cache (fetched 2026-05-12T03:28:55Z): TVL $1,618,100,259. 90-day CoV = 0.00417 (mean $1.628B, std $6.79M) — extremely stable. 30d change = -0.67%. 1d change = +0.02%. The notable TVL decline around ts 1770336000-1770422400 (approx April 14-15, 2026) shows TVL declining from ~$1.845B to ~$1.649B over approximately 4 days of gradual step-down — not consistent with a single-hour exploit-class drain. T-09 tier-A threshold: TVL_now / TVL_baseline_30d < 0.70 over 60-min window. Current TVL ($1.618B) / 30d median (~$1.63B) = 0.993 — well above 0.70 threshold. Signal not firing.
Sources #
- Curator noteFalcon Finance data cache — TVL CoV 90-day computation.research/protocols/falcon-finance/00-data-cache.json §sources.defillama.tvl_cov_90dretrieved 2026-05-12
- DefiLlama — TVL $1.618B as of 2026-05-12https://defillama.com/protocol/falcon-financeretrieved 2026-05-12
Methodology #
Detect whether TVL drops >X% within 1 hour versus the trailing 30-day baseline (X configurable per protocol TVL tier).
See the full factor methodology and distribution across all protocols →