TVL anomaly — % drop in <1h
Jupiter Perpetual Exchange's assessment for RD-F-098 — scored green on the v1.7.0 rubric. The evidence below is the curator's reasoning for this score.
Evidence summary #
TVL anomaly — severe drop signal (T-09 v1 launch, production-live). Current TVL $691.3M (2026-05-16). 30-day change -7.2%; 1-day change -1.81%. 30-day median approximately $769M. TVL_now / TVL_baseline_30d ≈ 0.899 — above the 0.70 tier-A threshold required for the grade-flip. Tier-B sub-rule (TVL_now / TVL_(t-15m) < 0.93 AND top-3 outflows to unknown addresses) not met intraday. The -74% drawdown from the 2025-08-13 peak ($2.652B) is a multi-month market correction, not a 1-hour TVL anomaly event. Suppression condition: sector-wide decline in crypto market Q1-Q2 2026 is the causal factor; the signal's sector-wide correlation suppression rule applies. Signal would NOT fire today.
Sources #
- InternalData cache — DefiLlama TVL fields00-data-cache.json sources.defillama: tvl_usd=691293430, tvl_1d_change_pct=-1.81, tvl_30d_change_pct=-7.2.retrieved 2026-05-16
- DefiLlama — Jupiter Perpetual Exchange TVLDefiLlama TVL API — jupiter-perpetual-exchange. TVL $691.3M, 30d change -7.2%, 1d change -1.81%. Accessed 2026-05-16.retrieved 2026-05-16
Methodology #
Detect whether TVL drops >X% within 1 hour versus the trailing 30-day baseline (X configurable per protocol TVL tier).
See the full factor methodology and distribution across all protocols →