TVL anomaly — % drop in <1h
Kinetiq's assessment for RD-F-098 — scored green on the v1.7.0 rubric. The evidence below is the curator's reasoning for this score.
Evidence summary #
T-09 v1 launch signal, tier-A. TVL current: $839,855,333 (2026-05-17). 90d mean: $833,765,153; 90d CoV: 0.082 (8.2% volatility — stable relative to ATH of $2.65B). 1d change: +2.18%; 30d change: -11.3% (gradual HYPE-price-driven decline spread across 30 days, not a sudden hour-level event). Threshold: TVL_now/baseline_30d < 0.70 within 60-minute trailing window. The 30d -11.3% decline is market-driven and sector-correlated (HYPE price movement) — suppression rule (sector-wide correlation) would apply. No single-hour event approaching the 30% drop threshold observed in the 90-day data series. Signal would not fire today.
Sources #
- InternalKinetiq data cache — TVL fieldsData cache 00-data-cache.json sources.defillama.tvl_usd=839855333, tvl_cov_90d.cov=0.081747, fetched 2026-05-17T14:46:05Zretrieved 2026-05-17
- Kinetiq — DefiLlama Protocol PageDefiLlama API tvl_cov_90d: cov=0.081747, mean=$833.8M, std=$68.2M, 90d window 2026-02-18 to 2026-05-17; tvl_1d_change_pct=2.18; tvl_30d_change_pct=-11.3retrieved 2026-05-17
Methodology #
Detect whether TVL drops >X% within 1 hour versus the trailing 30-day baseline (X configurable per protocol TVL tier).
See the full factor methodology and distribution across all protocols →